It’s the last week of October—here’s what’s going on in the global labor market: economists do not expect full recovery in hiring until 2012 (or after); hiring in the next six months will be minimal in the financial services sector; unemployment in the Eurozone reaches 9.7%; India hiring and pay will pick up in 2010; and some Canadian organizations focus on hiring and training millenials to fill baby boomers’ shoes.A survey of top economists by the National Association of Business Economics reports that U.S. job loss will continue through the end of 2009, with unemployment peaking in mid-2010. Although hiring will occur (albeit at a slowed pace), the majority of the economists surveyed do not believe that full recovery will occur until some time during or after 2012. Factors contributing to slow recovery include: 1) limited access to credit for small businesses and decreased revenue for other employers means money is tighter; 2) many employers have reduced hours for full time workers—they are more likely to restore these hours before hiring en masse; and 3) industries that were hit the hardest (e.g., automobile, construction, finance) also previously employed the most people—recovering these jobs will be difficult, if not impossible.
According to a survey conducted by Grant Thornton, only 26% of financial services organizations plan to increase hiring in the next six months. Many more, about 60%, plan to keep their workforce at the same levels, while 15% of employers in the financial services sector plan to decrease their workforce.
Eurozone Jobless Worst Since 1999 (BBC)
Unemployment in the 16 countries that comprise the Eurozone rose to 9.7% in September, the highest since January 1999. Latvia’s unemployment rate is the highest within the EU at 19.7%, while the Netherlands’ unemployment is the lowest at 3.6%. Most economists are expecting employers to continue shedding jobs into 2010.
The majority of private-sector employers in India expect to increase hiring in 2010, a recent report finds. India, as well as the rest of the Asia Pacific region, also expects to see a salary hike of 9.2%.
Rather than hiring specifically for the skill gaps that baby boomers will leave behind when they retire, some organizations in Canada are focusing on hiring and training millenials instead. One organization, Loblaw, offers an 18-month, in-house course to train its employees in the areas of IT, merchandising, and store operations in order to prepare them for management careers. Another Canadian organization, Telus, runs an in-house training program that focuses on teaching recent graduates managerial skills. By emphasizing career development, these two organizations not only attract quality young talent, but also prepare for the departure of baby boomers.




